

The International Monetary Fund’s latest World Economic Outlook says global growth has held up better than expected, but low emergency oil stocks and overstretched government budgets leave little room for further shocks, while the fund upgraded its UK growth forecast for 2026.


Resilience" is just the word they use right before the crash. Empty reserves, maxed-out budgets, a 2026 forecast nobody will live to see. When the next shock lands, there’s no cushion left — just vibes and a press release. That UK upgrade? A rounding error on a burning ledger. We’ll call it “unexpected” again.